Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 8.355094 9.778910 11.338212 13.168135 15.252071 17.546520 20.258963
2026-01-04 6.161714 8.133497 10.520941 13.601818 17.446994 22.060652 27.985186
2026-01-11 4.736778 6.894090 9.724649 13.658718 18.924442 25.661397 34.852580
2026-01-18 3.792751 6.002991 9.107381 13.696764 20.200591 28.961432 41.499858
2026-01-25 3.014989 5.155770 8.355279 13.354575 20.805615 31.302538 46.956587
2026-02-01 2.435592 4.477018 7.708257 13.018119 21.298248 33.435815 52.201156
2026-02-08 1.946115 3.838797 7.005463 12.465257 21.349251 34.861900 56.458418
2026-02-15 1.585786 3.346318 6.450634 12.048469 21.521677 36.424410 60.968711
2026-02-22 1.411295 3.156260 6.374069 12.400212 22.937600 39.982555 68.754780
2026-03-01 1.266306 2.993819 6.317649 12.767184 24.393264 43.688235 77.001104
2026-03-08 1.053303 2.650166 5.870954 12.368917 24.476381 45.134561 81.673261
2026-03-15 0.888916 2.375871 5.514091 12.084562 24.714680 46.829441 86.831319
2026-03-22 0.817023 2.308777 5.590246 12.694765 26.738157 51.899763 98.323804
2026-03-29 0.728213 2.185889 5.538277 13.059695 28.371343 56.473934 109.404588
2026-04-05 0.628374 2.011195 5.343866 13.103742 29.387966 60.021741 118.943800
2026-04-12 0.543419 1.853460 5.159101 13.138287 30.378967 63.584417 128.737840
2026-04-19 0.451837 1.651415 4.831625 12.807971 30.581492 65.666889 135.950661
2026-04-26 0.375979 1.473032 4.527788 12.483561 30.750748 67.679254 143.142727
2026-05-03 0.304372 1.284708 4.160239 11.950694 30.403623 68.633613 148.365980
2026-05-10 0.249976 1.135138 3.865818 11.549060 30.293789 70.036349 154.522590
2026-05-17 0.227473 1.092361 3.864318 11.888007 31.898141 75.054389 168.095999
2026-05-24 0.207740 1.053918 3.868527 12.241675 33.567744 80.317308 182.460255
2026-05-31 0.171667 0.937191 3.611602 11.857849 33.443343 81.767665 189.179566